Ed, another great article. Really, really insightful. Clear that governments need to develop a clear strategy that works for their culture and not be afraid to enforce it. Here in Australia, we are too afraid of appearing too draconian. As for the US.....
Hey Edward - thanks as always for your thorough weekly update. Melissa Chen has since updated her tweet with surprising new changes to life in Singapore although schools still remain open (for now), there are now 2 deaths and double the rate of cases.
Ultimately I think writing things on the current situation is fraught with danger because the information becomes outdated so quickly. As a British citizen who lived in the US for the better part of 19 years and is now in the UK (London specifically), I do not believe the US can handle this crisis in its current form. Far to speculate too much, the social safety net of the country will forever have to change. When I lived in Seattle, the duty of care and support was much greater than in Phoenix (perhaps due to Red vs Blue politics) and this stark difference can be seen in the response. My father is still working in office in Phoenix while the rest of the world is on lockdown. We're in for a very long, drawn-out battle, the likes of which we've never seen.
That's exactly right. The only metric that really matters in this is doubling time. When the base level is low it is basically invisible, but then it moves to very big very fast if actions are not taken - and analysis of "facts" can get obsolete within a week...
Wow. Very good read and very informative. Thank you sir!
Let’s hope they find a solution - that's tailored and fits.
I’m in the unique position to appreciate two differing systems, as I am American and Austrian (live in Austria). Austria has a national healthcare service which works beautifully, albeit in a much smaller country.
The concern is that, because of the exponential growth of this thing things change change in a given country very quickly. Already Germany and Singapore look very different today than the comments I made in this letter suggest.
What seems to matter more than "what's happening right now" is "what is the growth rate". 1000 cases doubling every week gets overtaken by 10 cases doubling every 2 days in less than three weeks (by three weeks the 2 day doubling is MUCH worse). So it is very difficult to be complacent and know that a given country is "safe" or "figured out the solution"
Brilliant article Ed
Excellent piece. I appreciate the hard work and clear thinking.
Ed, another great article. Really, really insightful. Clear that governments need to develop a clear strategy that works for their culture and not be afraid to enforce it. Here in Australia, we are too afraid of appearing too draconian. As for the US.....
Hey Edward - thanks as always for your thorough weekly update. Melissa Chen has since updated her tweet with surprising new changes to life in Singapore although schools still remain open (for now), there are now 2 deaths and double the rate of cases.
Ultimately I think writing things on the current situation is fraught with danger because the information becomes outdated so quickly. As a British citizen who lived in the US for the better part of 19 years and is now in the UK (London specifically), I do not believe the US can handle this crisis in its current form. Far to speculate too much, the social safety net of the country will forever have to change. When I lived in Seattle, the duty of care and support was much greater than in Phoenix (perhaps due to Red vs Blue politics) and this stark difference can be seen in the response. My father is still working in office in Phoenix while the rest of the world is on lockdown. We're in for a very long, drawn-out battle, the likes of which we've never seen.
That's exactly right. The only metric that really matters in this is doubling time. When the base level is low it is basically invisible, but then it moves to very big very fast if actions are not taken - and analysis of "facts" can get obsolete within a week...
Wow. Very good read and very informative. Thank you sir!
Let’s hope they find a solution - that's tailored and fits.
I’m in the unique position to appreciate two differing systems, as I am American and Austrian (live in Austria). Austria has a national healthcare service which works beautifully, albeit in a much smaller country.
All the best,
Eliot.
Thanks for your thoughtful response,
The concern is that, because of the exponential growth of this thing things change change in a given country very quickly. Already Germany and Singapore look very different today than the comments I made in this letter suggest.
What seems to matter more than "what's happening right now" is "what is the growth rate". 1000 cases doubling every week gets overtaken by 10 cases doubling every 2 days in less than three weeks (by three weeks the 2 day doubling is MUCH worse). So it is very difficult to be complacent and know that a given country is "safe" or "figured out the solution"